目录 前言/001 第1章 绪论 1.1 重新测度全球资本账户双向开放的重要性/001 1.2 全球资本账户双向开放再测度及数据库构建/004 1.3 全球资本账户双向开放数据库的贡献/006 1.4 全球资本账户双向开放经济效应的研究意义/014 第2章 全球资本账户双向开放指标测度方法及数据库构建 2.1 资本账户开放测度方法梳理/021 2.2 基于IMF的AREAER报告的文本挖掘/028 2.3 基于CNN的自然语言语义分析/030 2.4 政策分类及权重赋值/034 2.5 总体和最细粒度资本账户双向开放指标构建/036 2.6 资本账户双向开放指标赋值校验/037 2.7 GKAOPEN数据库特点/037 2.8 GKAOPEN数据库的应用方向展望/039 第3章 中国资本账户双向开放情况 3.1 中国资本账户开放历史梳理/042 3.2 中国资本账户开放情况与趋势/045 3.3 本章小结/082 第4章 高收入国家资本账户双向开放测度及特征分析 4.1 亚洲高收入国家指标测度及特征分析/084 4.2 欧洲高收入国家指标测度及特征分析/117 4.3 美洲高收入国家指标测度及特征分析/231 4.4 非洲高收入国家指标测度及特征分析/267 4.5 大洋洲高收入国家指标测度及特征分析/271 4.6 本章小结/281 第5章 中高收入国家资本账户双向开放测度及特征分析 5.1 亚洲中高收入国家指标测度及特征分析/285 5.2 欧洲中高收入国家指标测度及特征分析/336 5.3 美洲中高收入国家指标测度及特征分析/362 5.4 非洲中高收入国家指标测度及特征分析/409 5.5 大洋洲中高收入国家指标测度及特征分析/425 5.6 本章小结/432 第6章 中低收入国家资本账户双向开放测度及特征分析 6.1 亚洲中低收入国家指标测度及特征分析/435 6.2 欧洲中低收入国家指标测度及特征分析/499 6.3 美洲中低收入国家指标测度及特征分析/511 6.4 非洲中低收入国家指标测度及特征分析/529 6.5 大洋洲中低收入国家指标测度及特征分析/586 6.6 本章小结/593 第7章 低收入国家资本账户双向开放测度及特征分析 7.1 亚洲低收入国家指标测度及特征分析/596 7.2 美洲低收入国家指标测度及特征分析/606 7.3 非洲低收入国家指标测度及特征分析/609 7.4 本章小结/648 第8章 全球资本账户双向开放测度的横向对比及特征分析 8.1 全球资本账户开放主流数据库的比较/649 8.2 基于中国资本账户开放特征的横向对比分析/658 8.3 基于GKAOPEN数据库的全球资本账户开放特征/665 8.4 本章小结/675 第9章 资本账户双向开放下的跨境资本流动 9.1 资本账户双向开放与跨境资本流动的关联机制分析/676 9.2 研究方法与数据说明/684 9.3 资本账户总体开放与跨境资本流动的分位数动态因果关系研究/701 9.4 资本账户双向开放与跨境资本流动的分位数动态因果关系研究/738 9.5 本章结论及政策建议/770 第10章 资本账户双向开放下的汇率失衡调整 10.1 资本账户双向开放与汇率失衡调整的关联机制/776 10.2 资本账户双向开放与汇率失衡调整的基准实证检验/783 10.3 资本账户双向开放与汇率失衡调整的异质性效果检验/800 10.4 本章结论及政策建议/815 第11章 资本账户双向开放下的长期经济平衡增长 11.1 资本账户开放对经济增长的影响机制/821 11.2 双向资本账户开放与预期经济增长的实证分析/830 11.3 双向资本账户开放与经济增长尾部风险的实证分析/850 11.4 双向资本账户开放与经济增长完整分布的实证分析/858 11.5 本章结论及政策建议/865 第12章 资本账户双向开放与全要素生产率 12.1 研究背景/870 12.2 资本账户开放对全要素生产率影响的实证分析/875 12.3 资本账户双向开放对全要素生产率影响的异质性分析/887 12.4 本章结论及政策建议/896 第13章 资本账户双向开放、收入分配与共同富裕 13.1 研究背景/903 13.2 理论分析与研究假设/908 13.3 资本账户开放对收入不平等的影响/912 13.4 模型构建与实证分析/918 13.5 本章结论及政策建议/930 第14章 结论及政策建议 14.1 主要结论及观点/937 14.2 政策建议/943 参考文献/951 索引/982 Contents Preface/001 CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Importance of Re-measuring the Bilateral Opening of Global Capital Accounts/001 1.2 Re-evaluation and Database Construction of the Bilateral Opening of Global Capital Accounts/004 1.3 Contribution of the Bilateral Opening of Global Capital Account Database/006 1.4 Research Significance of the Economic Effects of the Bilateral Opening of Global Capital Accounts/014 CHAPTER 2 MEASUREMENT METHOD AND DATABASE CONSTRUCTION OF THE BILATERAL OPENING OF GLOBAL CAPITAL ACCOUNTS INDEX 2.1 Review of Measurement Methods for Capital Account Opening/021 2.2 Text Mining Based on the IMF’s AREAER Report/028 2.3 Natural Language Semantic Analysis Based on Convolutional Neural Networks/030 2.4 Policy Classification and Weight Assignment/034 2.5 Construction of Overall and Finest-Grained Bilateral Opening of Capital Accounts Index/036 2.6 Validation of the Bilateral Opening of Capital Accounts Index Value Assignment/037 2.7 Characteristics of the GKAOPEN Database/037 2.8 Prospects for the Application of the GKAOPEN Database/039 CHAPTER 3 CHINA’S BILATERAL OPENING OF CAPITAL ACCOUNTS SITUATION 3.1 Review of China’s History of Opening Capital Accounts/042 3.2 China’s Situation and Trends of Capital Account Opening/045 3.3 Summary of Chapter 3/082 CHAPTER 4 MEASUREMENT AND CHARACTERISTIC ANALYSIS OF BILATERAL OPENING OF CAPITAL ACCOUNTS IN HIGH-INCOME COUNTRIES 4.1 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of High-Income Countries in Asia/084 4.2 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of High-Income Countries in Europe/117 4.3 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of High-Income Countries in Americas/231 4.4 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of High-Income Countries in Africa/267 4.5 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of High-Income Countries in Oceania/271 4.6 Summary of Chapter 4/281 CHAPTER 5 MEASUREMENT AND CHARACTERISTIC ANALYSIS OF BILATERAL OPENING OF CAPITAL ACCOUNTS IN MIDDLE-HIGH INCOME COUNTRIES 5.1 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Middle-High Income Countries in Asia/285 5.2 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Middle-High Income Countries in Europe/336 5.3 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Middle-High Income Countries in Americas/362 5.4 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Middle-High Income Countries in Africa/409 5.5 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Middle-High Income Countries in Oceania/425 5.6 Summary of Chapter 5/432 CHAPTER 6 MEASUREMENT AND CHARACTERISTIC ANALYSIS OF BILATERAL OPENING OF CAPITAL ACCOUNTS IN MIDDLE-LOW INCOME COUNTRIES 6.1 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Middle-Low Income Countries in Asia/435 6.2 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Middle-Low Income Countries in Europe/499 6.3 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Middle-Low Income Countries in Americas/511 6.4 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Middle-Low Income Countries in Africa/529 6.5 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Middle-Low Income Countries in Oceania/586 6.6 Summary of Chapter 6/593 CHAPTER 7 MEASUREMENT AND CHARACTERISTIC ANALYSIS OF BILATERAL OPENING OF CAPITAL ACCOUNTS IN LOW INCOME COUNTRIES 7.1 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Low Income Countries in Asia/596 7.2 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Low Income Countries in Americas/606 7.3 Index Measurement and Characteristic Analysis of Low Income Countries in Africa/609 7.4 Summary of Chapter 7/648 CHAPTER 8 HORIZONTAL COMPARISON AND CHARACTERISTIC ANALYSIS OF BILATERAL OPENING OF GLOBAL CAPITAL ACCOUNTS 8.1 Comparison of Mainstream Global Capital Account Opening Databases/649 8.2 Horizontal Comparison and Characteristic Analysis of Capital Account Opening Based on China’s Capital Account Opening Characteristics/658 8.3 Global Capital Account Opening Characteristics Based on the GKAOPEN Database/665 8.4 Summary of Chapter 8/675 CHAPTER 9 CROSS-BORDER CAPITAL FLOWS UNDER BILATERAL OPENING OF CAPITAL ACCOUNTS 9.1 Analysis of the Relationship Mechanism between Bilateral Opening of Capital Accounts and Cross-border Capital Flows/676 9.2 Research Methods and Data Description/684 9.3 Quantile Dynamic Causal Relationship Study of Overall Capital Account Opening and Cross-border Capital Flows/701 9.4 Quantile Dynamic Causal Relationship Study of Bilateral Opening of Capital Accounts and Cross-border Capital Flows/738 9.5 Conclusion and Policy Recommendations of Chapter 9/770 CHAPTER 10 EXCHANGE RATE IMBALANCE ADJUSTMENT UNDER BILATERAL OPENING OF CAPITALACCOUNTS 10.1 Analysis of the Relationship Mechanism between Bilateral Opening of Capital Accounts and Exchange Rate Imbalance Adjustment/776 10.2 Empirical Test of the Benchmark Relationship between Bilateral Opening of Capital Accounts and Exchange Rate Imbalance Adjustment/783 10.3 Heterogeneous Effect Test of Bilateral Opening of Capital Accounts on Exchange Rate Imbalance Adjustment/800 10.4 Conclusion and Policy Recommendations of Chapter 10/815 CHAPTER 11 LONG-TERM ECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM GROWTH UNDER BILATERAL OPENING OF CAPITAL ACCOUNTS 11.1 Impact Mechanism of Capital Account Opening on Economic Growth/821 11.2 Empirical Analysis of Bilateral Capital Account Opening and Expected Economic Growth/830 11.3 Empirical Analysis of Bilateral Capital Account Opening and Tail Risk of Economic Growth/850 11.4 Empirical Analysis of Bilateral Capital Account Opening and Complete Distribution of Economic Growth/858 11.5 Conclusion and Policy Recommendations of Chapter 11/865 CHAPTER 12 BILATERAL OPENING OF CAPITAL ACCOUNTS AND TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY 12.1 Research Background/870 12.2 Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Capital Account Opening on Total Factor Productivity/875 12.3 Heterogeneous Analysis of the Impact of Bilateral Capital Account Opening on Total Factor Productivity/887 12.4 Conclusion and Policy Recommendations of Chapter 12/896 CHAPTER 13 BILATERAL OPENING OF CAPITAL ACCOUNTS,INCOME DISTRIBUTION, AND COMMON PROSPERITY 13.1 Research Background/903 13.2 Theoretical Analysis and Research Hypotheses/908 13.3 The Impact of Capital Account Opening on Income Inequality/912 13.4 Model Construction and Empirical Analysis/918 13.5 Conclusion and Policy Recommendations of Chapter 13/930 CHAPTER 14 CONCLUSION AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS 14.1 Main Conclusions and Views/937 14.2 Policy Recommendations/943 REFERENCES/951 INDEX/982
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